What to trade around Switzerland KOF Leading Indicators news event

Based on the last 12 KOF Leading Indicators events in Switzerland, we expect NZDUSD to trend downwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect NZDUSD to trend downwards for the next 4 hours because the released value is > 106.4. A price movement of 67 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

29 Oct 18:00
30 Sep 17:00
30 Apr 17:00
30 Mar 18:00
26 Feb 19:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).