What to trade around Switzerland SNB Interest Rate Decison news event

Based on the last 12 SNB Interest Rate Decison events in Switzerland, we expect a $570 movement on AUDUSD within 4 hours following the event release at 2022-12-15 19:30. We expect AUDUSD to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 2022-12-15 19:30 if the released value is = 1%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

22 Sep 17:30
24 Mar 19:30
16 Dec 19:30
23 Sep 17:30
25 Mar 19:30
17 Dec 19:30
24 Sep 17:30
19 Mar 19:30
12 Dec 19:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).