What to trade around United Kingdom Balance of Trade news event

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in United Kingdom, we may expect USDJPY to trend upwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We made this conclusion because because the released value is > £-11.8B. A price movement of 34 pips may be experienced.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

11 Apr 16:00
14 Jan 18:00
11 Nov 18:00
09 Jul 21:00
11 Jun 16:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).