What to trade around United Kingdom Balance of Trade news event

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in United Kingdom, we expect AUDUSD to trend upwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend upwards for the next 2 hours because the released value is < £-2B. A price movement of 20 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

12 Aug 06:00
13 Apr 06:00
10 Dec 07:00
11 Sep 06:00