What to trade around United Kingdom BoE Interest Rate Decision news event

Based on the last 12 BoE Interest Rate Decision events in United Kingdom, we expect AUDUSD to trend downwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards for the next 48 hours because the released value is = 0.1%. A price movement of 80 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Sep 21:00
06 Aug 16:00
18 Jun 21:00
30 Jan 23:00
07 Nov 23:00
19 Sep 21:00
01 Aug 21:00
02 May 21:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).