Based on the last 12 Claimant Count Change events in United Kingdom, we expect USDCHF to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect USDCHF to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 17 Mar 20:30 if the released value is > 21.4K. A price movement of 22 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

12 Nov 20:30	16 Jul 18:30
11 Jun 18:30	14 May 18:30
16 Apr 18:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).