Based on the last 12 Claimant Count Change events in United Kingdom, we expect NZDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect NZDUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 23 Mar 18:00 if the released value is > -17K. A price movement of 27 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

15 Dec 18:00	11 Aug 16:00
16 Jun 16:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).