What to trade around United Kingdom GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final news event

Based on the last 12 GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final events in United Kingdom, we expect EURUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect EURUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 22 Dec 07:00 if the released value is = 15.5%. A price movement of 31 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

31 Mar 06:00
30 Sep 08:30
28 Jun 08:30
28 Sep 08:30
29 Mar 08:30
22 Dec 09:30