What to trade around United Kingdom GfK Consumer Confidence news event

Based on the last 12 GfK Consumer Confidence events in United Kingdom, we expect USDCAD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect USDCAD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 20 Nov 00:01 if the released value is > -34. A price movement of 26 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

02 Jul 23:01
23 Apr 23:01
30 Mar 23:01
28 Feb 00:01
20 Dec 00:01