What to trade around United Kingdom GfK Consumer Confidence news event

Based on the last 12 GfK Consumer Confidence events in United Kingdom, we expect NZDUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect NZDUSD to trend upwards 48 hours following the event release at 25 Jun 09:01 if the released value is < -7. A price movement of 74 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

23 Apr 09:01
23 Oct 10:01
24 Jul 09:01

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).