What to trade around United Kingdom GfK Consumer Confidence news event

Based on the last 12 GfK Consumer Confidence events in United Kingdom, we expect AUDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 85.71% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 22 Jul 23:01 if the released value is > -8. A price movement of 11 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

20 May 23:01
19 Mar 00:01
19 Feb 00:01
22 Jan 00:01
18 Dec 00:01
24 Sep 23:01