What to trade around United Kingdom Unemployment Rate news event

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in United Kingdom, we expect USDCHF to trend upwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect USDCHF to trend upwards for the next 4 hours because the released value is < 4%. A price movement of 45 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

18 Jan 18:00
16 Nov 18:00
20 Apr 16:00
23 Mar 18:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).