What to trade around United States Adp Employment Change news event

Based on the last 12 Adp Employment Change events in United States, we expect USDCHF to trend upwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect USDCHF to trend upwards for the next 4 hours because the released value is > 156K. A price movement of 35 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

09 Jan 00:15
05 Sep 22:15
31 Jul 22:15
31 Jan 00:15

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).