Based on the last 12 Adp Employment Change events in United States, we expect GBPUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards 4 hours following the event release at 30 Sep 22:15 if the released value is < 650K. A price movement of 13 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

02 Sep 22:15	06 May 22:15
05 Dec 00:15

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).