What to trade around United States Balance of Trade news event

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in United States, we expect USDCHF to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is < $-70.3B Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

07 Jul 22:30
04 May 22:30
05 Apr 22:30
07 Jan 00:30
04 Nov 23:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).