Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in United States, we expect AUDUSD to trend downwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 83.33% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards for the next 48 hours because the released value is < $-44B. A price movement of 82 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

06 Feb 00:30	04 Oct 22:30
03 Jul 22:30	06 Jun 22:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).