What to trade around United States Balance of Trade news event

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in United States, we expect 6S to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect 6S to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 08 Feb 13:30 if the released value is < $-83B. A price movement of 0 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

06 Jan 13:30
07 Dec 13:30
04 Nov 12:30
05 Aug 12:30
07 Apr 12:30
05 Feb 13:30