Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in United States, we expect ES to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect ES to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 08 Mar 13:30 if the released value is < $-87.1B. A price movement of 3,012 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

07 Dec 13:30

04 Nov 12:30

05 Oct 12:30

05 Aug 12:30

07 Apr 12:30