What to trade around United States Continuing Jobless Claims news event

Based on the last 12 Continuing Jobless Claims events in United States, we expect USDCAD to trend downwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect USDCAD to trend downwards for the next 12 hours because the released value is < 19238K. A price movement of 96 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

23 Apr 22:30
16 Apr 22:30
09 Apr 22:30
02 Apr 23:30
19 Mar 23:30
06 Mar 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).