What to trade around United States Continuing Jobless Claims news event

Based on the last 12 Continuing Jobless Claims events in United States, we expect DX to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect DX to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 06 Jan 13:30 if the released value is > 1688K. A price movement of 15 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

09 Dec 13:30
24 Nov 13:30
10 Nov 13:30