What to trade around United States Continuing Jobless Claims news event

Based on the last 12 Continuing Jobless Claims events in United States, we could expect NZDUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect NZDUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 28 Apr 12:30 if the released value is > 1403K. A price movement of 32 pips could result.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

10 Mar 13:30
03 Mar 13:30
10 Feb 13:30
03 Feb 13:30