What to trade around United States Continuing Jobless Claims news event

Based on the last 12 Continuing Jobless Claims events in United States, we may expect USDJPY to trend upwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We made this conclusion because because the released value is > 1403K. A price movement of 20 pips may be experienced.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

07 Apr 22:30
11 Mar 00:30
11 Feb 00:30
04 Feb 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).