What to trade around United States Continuing Jobless Claims news event

Based on the last 12 Continuing Jobless Claims events in United States, we expect USDCAD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect USDCAD to trend downwards 48 hours following the event release at 03 Jan 00:30 if the released value is < 1717K. A price movement of 63 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

13 Dec 00:30
15 Nov 00:30
17 Oct 23:30