What to trade around United States Continuing Jobless Claims news event

Based on the last 12 Continuing Jobless Claims events in United States, we expect AUDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 30 Jan 13:30 if the released value is < 1733K. A price movement of 32 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

23 Jan 13:30
16 Jan 13:30
27 Nov 13:30
14 Nov 13:30