Based on the last 12 Continuing Jobless Claims events in United States, we expect USDCHF to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 83.33% chance of this. We expect USDCHF to trend downwards 4 hours following the event release at 23 Jul 22:30 if the released value is < 17067K. A price movement of 58 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

16 Jul 22:30	25 Jun 22:30
28 May 22:30	14 May 22:30
30 Apr 22:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).