What to trade around United States Durable Goods Orders MoM news event

Based on the last 12 Durable Goods Orders MoM events in United States, we expect NZDUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 88.89% chance of this. We expect NZDUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 23 Dec 13:30 if the released value is > 0.6%. A price movement of 35 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

25 Nov 13:30
27 Oct 12:30
26 Aug 12:30
27 Jul 12:30
25 Jun 12:30
28 May 12:30
25 Mar 12:30
27 Feb 13:30