Based on the last 12 Durable Goods Orders MoM events in United States, we expect USDCHF to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect USDCHF to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 26 Apr 22:30 if the released value is < 2.5%. A price movement of 20 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

24 Mar 23:30	28 Jan 00:30
25 Sep 22:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).