What to trade around United States Existing Home Sales news event

Based on the last 12 Existing Home Sales events in United States, we expect USDCHF to trend downwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect USDCHF to trend downwards for the next 2 hours because the released value is > 6.1M. A price movement of 27 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

23 Nov 02:00
22 Oct 01:00
24 Aug 00:00
20 Feb 02:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).