What to trade around United States Existing Home Sales news event

Based on the last 12 Existing Home Sales events in United States, we expect EURUSD to trend upwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect EURUSD to trend upwards for the next 2 hours because the released value is > 6.61M. A price movement of 14 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

22 Jan 15:00
19 Nov 15:00
22 Oct 14:00
21 Aug 14:00
21 Feb 15:00