What to trade around United States Fed Interest Rate Decision news event

Based on the last 12 Fed Interest Rate Decision events in United States, we expect USDCHF to trend downwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect USDCHF to trend downwards for the next 2 hours because the released value is = 0.25%. A price movement of 37 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

29 Apr 04:00
18 Mar 05:00
17 Dec 06:00
06 Nov 06:00
30 Jul 04:00
11 Jun 04:00
30 Apr 04:00
30 Jan 06:00
12 Dec 06:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).