What to trade around United States GDP Growth Rate QoQ 2nd Est news event

Based on the last 12 GDP Growth Rate QoQ 2nd Est events in United States, we expect GBPUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 27 Aug 12:30 if the released value is = -32.5%. A price movement of 8 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

27 Feb 13:30
29 Aug 12:30
30 May 12:30
28 Nov 13:30
28 Feb 13:30