What to trade around United States GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final news event

Based on the last 12 GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final events in United States, we expect USDCHF to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect USDCHF to trend upwards 12 hours following the event release at 26 Mar 23:30 if the released value is = 2.1%. A price movement of 41 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

21 Dec 00:30
26 Sep 22:30
27 Sep 22:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).