What to trade around United States GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final news event

Based on the last 12 GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final events in United States, we could expect GBPUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 83.33% chance of this. We expect GBPUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 29 Jun 12:30 if the released value is = -1.5%. A price movement of 31 pips could result.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

24 Jun 12:30
26 Mar 12:30
20 Dec 13:30
26 Sep 12:30
27 Jun 12:30