What to trade around United States Housing Starts news event

Based on past United States Housing Starts news events there is a 71.43% chance of AUDUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is < 1.445M. A price movement of 26 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

18 May 12:30
17 Feb 13:30
17 Nov 13:30
19 Oct 12:30