What to trade around United States Inflation Rate YoY news event

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in United States, we expect USDCAD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect USDCAD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 10 Jun 12:30 if the released value is > 0.2%. A price movement of 66 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

13 Feb 13:30
11 Dec 13:30
13 Nov 13:30
13 Aug 12:30