What to trade around United States ISM Manufacturing PMI news event

Based on the last 12 ISM Manufacturing PMI events in United States, we expect NZDUSD to trend upwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect NZDUSD to trend upwards for the next 12 hours because the released value is < 61. A price movement of 10 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

02 Feb 02:00
02 Dec 02:00
02 Oct 00:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).