What to trade around United States Michigan Consumer Sentiment Prel news event

Based on the last 12 Michigan Consumer Sentiment Prel events in United States, we expect UB to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect UB to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 14 Jan 15:00 if the released value is < 70. A price movement of 101 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

13 Aug 14:00
16 Jul 14:00
14 May 14:00
16 Apr 14:00
12 Feb 15:00
15 Jan 15:00