What to trade around United States Michigan Consumer Sentiment Prel news event

Based on the last 12 Michigan Consumer Sentiment Prel events in United States, we expect NZDUSD to trend upwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect NZDUSD to trend upwards for the next 2 hours because the released value is > 84. A price movement of 14 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

13 Mar 02:00
12 Dec 02:00
17 Oct 01:00
19 Sep 00:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).