Based on the last 12 Non Farm Payrolls events in United States, we expect EURUSD to trend upwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect EURUSD to trend upwards for the next 12 hours because the released value is < 469K. A price movement of 19 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

02 Oct 22:30	03 Apr 23:30
11 Jan 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).