What to trade around United States Non Farm Payrolls news event

We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards for the next 2 hours. Based on these past United States Non Farm Payrolls news events there is a 85.71% chance of this. We expect this to happen because the released value is > 300K. A price movement of 53 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

05 Aug 12:30
08 Jul 12:30
03 Jun 12:30
06 May 12:30
04 Mar 13:30
05 Nov 12:30